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Exchange of Experiences in Forest Sector Outlook Studies and Related Work

14 February 2019

Koli, Finland



This "Exchange of Experiences in Forest Sector Outlook Studies (FSOS) and Related Work" was part of a three-day event, the DIABOLO Project Final Conference:





The National Forest Inventories towards 2020 in the Context of  the DIABOLO Project

Please visit the Diabolo webpage

13  February

DIABOLO – Distributed, Integrated and Harmonised Forest Information for Bioeconomy Outlooks

Please visit the Diabolo webpage


UNECE Forest Sector Outlook Day
(Exchange of Experiences in FSOS and Related Work)

For registration see the information below

Download the programme here, for the UNECE FSOS Day please see further details below.

NOTE: The UNECE Forest Sector Outlook Day was followed by a meeting of the UNECE/FAO Team of Specialist on Forest Sector Outlook on 15 January. For more information on the ToS meeting please click here.

Below you find further information on the UNECE FSOS Day (for further information on the other two days please visit the Diabolo webpage)


I. Background

The UNECE/FAO Forestry and Timber Section analyses structural developments in the forest sector and produces studies on the long-term outlook for supply and demand for wood as well as other forest goods and services. These studies support policy and decision makers and analysts in Government, the civil society and the private sector. The key publications in this field of work are the Forest Sector Outlook Studies (FSOS), a series that started in 1952 with the European Timber Trend Studies. More recent publications are the European Forest Sector Outlook Study II, 2010-2030 (EFSOS II, published in 2011) and the North American Forest Sector Outlook Study (published in 2012). All these studies map out possible or likely future developments, based on past trends. A reference scenario and different policy scenarios provide a contribution to evidence-based policy formulation and decision-making.


II. Objectives

At the beginning of 2019, the next round of the FSOS was getting closer to the final publication. After a series of meetings in 2018 (which can be accessed here), modelling of FSOS scenarios was well under way. The meeting in Koli, Finland, allowed a wider audience to learn about the modelling results and provide their feedback. In addition, the event served as an exchange of current knowledge and experiences by other actors in forest sector outlook related work. Participants learned about national modelling efforts as well as international research. In addition, participants discussed future needs and possibilities for capacity building.


III. Participants
  • Team of Specialists Forest Sector Outlook
  • Forest resource experts
  • Academia and research
  • ECE/FAO Forestry and Timber Section
  • Relevant international and non-governmental organizations
  • Other forestry and forest products' experts


IV. Expected result
  1. Feedback by participants on the scenario modelling results for the next FSOS
  2. Increased knowledge of participants on modelling work undertaken by various countries as well as research conducted by international organizations and academic institutions
  3. Ideas for future activities for capacity building


V. Agenda

Please find the concept note and the agenda of the meeting here.


VI. Registration

Registration is closed.


VII. Meeting venue

The event was held in the heart of Koli National Park, in eastern Finland. 


VIII. Background information

Previous outlook studies:

North American Forest Sector Outlook Study (March 2012)

European Forest sector outlook study EFSOS II (August 2011)

Previous and related studies

Previous meetings in 2018:

ToS meeting, WEBEX call, October 2018

ToS meeting, Geneva, March 2018

Brainstorming Workshop, Geneva, January 2018


XI. Workshop documents


Concept Note and agendaPDF
Background paper: ECE/FAO Forest Sector Outlook Study III: Selected Scenarios and Preliminary ResultsPDF
Finland: Forest sector outlook work and forest policyMs Marja KokkonenPDF
German scenario case studies on changing wood supply and bio-economy pathwaysDr. Holger WeimarPDF
Possibilities of EFDM in national wood supply modellingProf. Tuula PackalenPDF
GLOBIOM and applications for outlooks studiesDr. Nicklas ForsellPDF
Climate Smart Forestry, BioMonitor and other
outlook activities at EFI
Dr. Hans VerkerkPDF
The JRC Biomass Assessment Study & Forest-based sector outlook related workDr. Ragnar JonssonPDF
FORest MAnagement Scenarios for Adaptation and Mitigation (FORMASAM)Dr. Mart-Jan SchelhaasPDF
Background presentation to the next UNECE/FAO Forest Sector Outlook Study (FSOS)Ms. Birgit Lia FainPDF
UNECE Forest Sector Outlook Study III: Selected scenarios & preliminary resultsDr. Prakash NepalPDF
Workshop ReportPDF
Picturesgoogle album


X. Contact

Should you have any question, please contact the Secretary of the ToS on Forest Sector Outlook Birgit Lia Fain (lia.fain@un.org).