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List of Meetings and Events - All


Joint Eurostat/UNECE Work Session on Demographic Projections

29 - 31 October 2013

Rome, Italy

Document Title

ENG

Presentations

INF.1

Information Notice 1

PDF

INF.2 Rev.

Information Notice 2

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INF.3

Information Notice 3

PDF

Provisional agenda

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Book of abstract

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Draft report

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Keynote lectures

Probabilistic demographic projections (University of Oslo)

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Population Ageing – A Threat to the Welfare State? (Lund University)

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Assumptions on future migration

WP4.1

Projections of ageing migrant populations in France: 2008-2028 (INED)

PDF

PDF

WP4.2

Introducing duration dependant emigration in DREAMs population projection model (DREAM)

PDF

WP4.3

Model to forecast the re-immigration of Swedish-born by background  (Sweden)

PDF

PDF

WP4.4

Dynamical models for migration projections (Iceland)

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PDF

Assumptions on future mortality

WP5.1

Cohort effects and structural changes in the mortality trend (Portugal)

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PDF

WP5.2

Evaluation of Korean Mortality Forecasting Models (Korea)

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PDF

WP5.3

Coherent forecasting of multiple-decrement life tables: compositional models for French Cause of Death data, 1925-2008 (INED)

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PDF

WP5.4

Changing mortality trends by age and sex are challenges for assumptions on future mortality (Sweden)

PDF

PDF

Actual and potential use of demographic projections at national and international level

WP6.1

Indexation of the pension age to projected remaining life expectancy in The Netherlands (Netherlands)

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WP6.2

The role of population projections for a redefinition of the Portuguese higher educational institutional network (University of Évora)

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WP6.3

On the use of seasonal forecasting methods to model birth and deaths data as an input for monthly population estimates (Portugal)

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National and international population projections out of the EU region

WP7.1

Qualitative and methodological aspects of population projections in Georgia; Georgian Population Prospects:1950-2050 (Ilia State University)

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WP7.2

Population Prospects of Georgia (Ilia State University)

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PDF

WP7.3

Estimation of the size and vital rates of the Haredi (ultra-orthodox) population in Israel for the purpose of long-range population projections (Isreal)

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WP7.4

Population and development scenarios for EU neighbor countries in the South and East Mediterranean region (NIDI)

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Assumptions on future fertility

WP8.1

Contribution of fertility model and parameterization to population projection errors (VID)

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WP8.2

New family values and increased childbearing in Sweden? (Sweden)

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WP8.3

Projecting fertility by regions considering tempo-adjusted TFR, the Austrian approach (Austria)

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PDF

WP8.4

Effects of childbearing postponement on cohort fertility in Germany (Destatis)

PDF

PDF

Stochastic methods in population projections

WP9.1

Measuring uncertainty in population forecasts: a new approach (University of California Riverside, University of California San Diego)

PDF

PDF

WP9.2

Stochastic population forecast: an application to the Rome Metropolitan Area (University of Rome 'La Sapienza', CNR IRPPS)

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WP9.3

Long-term contribution of immigration to population renewal in Canada: a sensitivity analysis using Demosim (Canada)

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WP9.4

From agent-based models to statistical emulators (University of Southampton)

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Household projections

WP10.1

Estimating the number of households: an unavoidable challenge for the statistical system (INE)

PDF

PDF

WP10.2

A household projection model for Belgium based on individual household membership rates, using the LIPRO typology (Federal Planning Bureau)

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PDF

WP10.3

Household Projections and Welfare (University of Milan Bicocca, ISMU, Ministero del Lavoro e delle Politiche Sociali)

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Demographic sustainability and consistency with macroeconomic assumptions

WP11.1

Ageing alone? The future of the Portuguese population in discussion (University of Évora)

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PDF

WP11.2

Integrating labor market in population projections (CSIC - Spanish Council for Scientific Research, Institute of Statistics and Cartography of Andalusia)

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PDF

WP11.3

Economic factors and net migration assumptions for EU countries – how to incorporate lessons from the recent economic crisis? (Warsaw School of Economics)

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Bayesian approaches (1)

WP12.1

Bayesian functional models for population forecasting (University of Southampton, the Australian National University)

PDF

PDF

WP12.2

Towards stochastic forecasts of the Italian population: an experiment with conditional expert elicitations University of Oxford, Istat, Bocconi University)

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PDF

WP12.3

Expert-Based stochastic population forecasting: a bayesian approach to the combination of the elicitations (University of Oxford, Bocconi University)

PDF

PDF

Bayesian approaches (2)

WP13.1

Bayesian probabilistic projection of international migration rates (University of Washington)

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PDF

WP13.2

Bayesian probabilistic population projections: do it yourself (University of Washington, UNPD)

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PDF

WP13.3

Bayesian mortality forecasts with a flexible age pattern of change for several European countries (University of Rostock)

PDF

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Multiregional projections

WP14.1

Examining the Role of International Migration in Global Population Projections (VID, IAASA)

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WP14.2

Subnational population projections for Turkey, 2013-2023 (Turkey)

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PDF

WP14.3

An alternative projection model for interprovincial migration in Canada (Canada)

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PDF

WP14.4

A Space-Time extension of the Lee-Carter model in a hierarchical bayesian framework: modelling and forecasting provincial mortality in Italy. (University of Bologna)

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Beyond population projections by age and sex: inclusion of additional population characteristics

WP15.1

Projecting inequality: the role of population change Vrije University of Bruxelles, KU Leuven University)

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PDF

WP15.2

The impact of Canadian immigrant selection policy on future imbalances in labour force supply by broad skill levels (INRS Urbanisation Culture Société Research Centre)

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WP15.3

Microsimulation of language characteristics and language choice in multilingual regions with high immigration ( INRS Urbanisation Culture, Société Research Centre)

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WP15.4

A method for projecting economically active population. The case of Andalusia (Institute of Statistics and Cartography of Andalusia)

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Population projections by age, sex and level of education (1)

WP16.1

The scientific base of the new Wittgenstein Centre Global Human Capital Projections: defining assumptions through an evaluation of expert views on future fertility, mortality and migration (IIASA, ÖAW/VID, WU)

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PDF

WP16.2

Developing Expert-Based assumptions on future fertility, mortality and migratio (IIASA, ÖAW/VID, WU)

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PDF

WP16.3

The impact of alternative assumptions about migration differentials by education on projections of human capital (IIASA, ÖAW/VID, WU)

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Population projections by age, sex and level of education (2)

WP17.1

Estimating transition age schedules for long-term projections of global educational attainment ( IIASA, ÖAW/VID, WU)

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WP17.2

Results of the New Wittgenstein Centre Population Projections by age, sex and level of education for 171 countries (IIASA, ÖAW/VID, WU)

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WP17.3

Labor force projections for Europe by age, sex, and highest level of educational attainment, 2008 to 2053 (IIASA, ÖAW/VID, WU)

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