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SafeFITS Model (Safe Future Inland Transport Systems)

Road accidents constitute a major social problem in modern societies, accounting for more than 1 million accidents per year in EU-28 (2,900 per day), resulting in 1.4 million injuries and 26,000 fatalities (70 per day) (WHO, 2015). Road traffic injuries are estimated to be the eighth leading cause of death globally, and more than half of the people killed in traffic accidents are young adults aged between 15 and 44 years. In low- and middle-income countries, the rates of road traffic injuries are twice those in high-income countries and still increasing. This can be partly attributed to rapid motorization in many developing countries, without any investment being made in road safety. Current trends suggest that, unless action is taken, traffic injuries will become the fifth leading cause of death by 2030, with the disparity between high- and low-income countries further increased (WHO, 2015). 

Within the above road safety context and using For Future Inland Transport Systems (ForFITS) principles, the project Safe Future Inland Transport Systems (SafeFITS) aims to facilitate knowledge-based transport policy decision-making related to reducing road traffic injuries.

SafeFITS model

The SafeFITS model consists of several components:

  • SafeFITS database with data on road safety indicators (fatalities and injuries, performance indicators, road safety measures, economy and background) for all countries, which were used for the estimation of new global causalities, through the development of statistical models.
  • SafeFITS set of statistical models of global causalities, estimated on the basis of the database of road safety indicators, allowing intervention, forecasting and benchmarking analyses within SafeFITS.
  • SafeFITS tool, including three complementary modules, all serving very common purposes in road safety policy analysis:

    • An intervention analysis module, to allow the user to forecast the safety effects of a specific road safety measure or intervention for a given country and time period, all other things being kept constant.
    • A forecasting module, to allow the testing of combined scenarios of interventions (measures and programmes) at national level.
    • A benchmarking module,to allow the user to benchmark a country against other countries, by comparing the road safety outcomes in relation to the basic road safety indicators, and by identifying the priority areas that the country should focus on for improving its road safety.


Access the SafeFITS model


The SafeFITS Project was implemented with the financial support from the International Road Transport Union (IRU).