European Forest Sector Outlook Study II

Expectations of the region's forests to meet increasing environmental, social and economic demands have never been higher. European forest sector policy makers must grapple with complex, imperfectly understood challenges to meet these demands when designing forest policies. These policies will have to address challenges such as climate change, protection of biodiversity, space for recreation and leisure, and energy and raw material needs.

The European Forest Sector Outlook Study II (EFSOS II) addresses and discusses these demanding challenges through scenario analysis. A reference scenario and four policy scenarios have been prepared modelling trends in the European forest sector up to 2030, to illustrate the possible long-term consequences of policy choices.

Press Release

List of Chapters
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Chapter 1 - Introduction
Chapter 2 - Main policy issues and challenges for the forest sector
Chapter 3 - Scenario analysis: reference futures and policy choices
Chapter 4 - Assessing the sustainability of the outlook for the European forest sector
Chapter 5 - Main policy issues and challenges, in the light of the scenario analysis
Chapter 6 - Conclusions and recommendations
Chapter 7 - Annex

Supporting Data

Data Overview and Explanation

Summary of main variables by scenario and country

EFISCEN results

EFI-GTM results

Econometric analysis

Sustainability analysis

Supporting Papers

The following UNECE/FAO Discussion Papers are in preparation. They provide background information on the data and methods used in the study.

Jonsson, R. (in press) Econometric Modelling and Projections of Wood Products Demand, Supply and Trade in Europe - A contribution to EFSOS II. Geneva Timber and Forest Discussion paper, ECE/TIM/DP/59. Geneva: UNECE.
Mantau, U. (in press) The Method of the Wood Resource Balance - A contribution to EFSOS II. Geneva Timber and Forest Discussion paper, ECE/TIM/DP/60. Geneva: UNECE.
Moiseyev, A., Solberg, B. and Kallio, A.M.I. (in press) Analysing the impacts on the European forest sector of increased use of wood for energy - A contribution to EFSOS II. Geneva Timber and Forest Discussion paper, ECE/TIM/DP/63. Geneva: UNECE.
Verkerk, H., Schelhaas, M.J. (in press) European forest resource development - A contribution to EFSOS II. Geneva Timber and Forest Discussion paper, ECE/TIM/DP/61. Geneva: UNECE.
Weimar, H., Englert, H., Moiseyev, A. and Dieter, M. (in press) Competitiveness of the European Forest Sector - A contribution to EFSOS II. Geneva Timber and Forest Discussion paper, ECE/TIM/DP/62. Geneva: UNECE.

Previous work

EFSOS II was preceded by EFSOS, and previous to that by the European Timber Trends Studies, starting from the early 1960s. Copies of all of these studies are available on our website under publications.