[Index]
CASPIAN SEA REGION CONTRIBUTION TO
GLOBAL ENERGY SECURITY
Palais des Nations, Geneva
28 June 2005
Geneva, 28 June 2005 - The Caspian
Sea region may be one of the few options
left to policy makers seeking to ensure
the energy security of UNECE member countries.
The Caspian Sea region is very rich in
oil and natural gas but production and
exports only account for 2 per cent of
world production now. The region has a
very large potential for increasing exports
given adequate investments and export
agreements. To address this problem, the
UNECE Energy Security Forum has decided
to hold in Geneva, on 28 June 2005, a
High-level Meeting on Energy Security
in the Caspian Sea Region to consider
the role of this region in enhancing global
energy security.
Policy makers in the
Caspian Sea region are acutely aware of
the strategic importance to these energy
resources. This is why the meeting will
begin with a presentation of Mr. Igor
Yusufov, Special Envoy of President Vladimir
Putin on International Energy Cooperation,
Russian Federation; Mr. Vladimir Shkolnik,
Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources,
Kazakhstan; and Mr. Zaur Yaqubov, Special
Advisor to the Minister of Fuel and Energy,
Azerbaijan among other senior speakers.
Traditional energy security
policy measures of increasing indigenous
fuel production, improving energy efficiency
and building up strategic reserves are
unlikely to provide an adequate response
to these emerging energy security risks.
The confluence of new
global energy security risks together
with rising energy demand in UNECE countries
will leave the many UNECE countries genuinely
more vulnerable than they have been in
the past. The sober economic and strategic
facts are that rising energy demand will
lead to an increasing energy import dependence
of the UNECE region, especially for oil
and natural gas.
Western European oil
imports could rise from 55 per cent of
consumption now to 65 per cent in 2010
and possibly to 80 per cent by 2020.
North American oil import
dependence could rise from 35 per cent
to 45 per cent by 2020. Apart from the
Russian Federation, central and eastern
European oil imports could rise from 80
per cent today to 90 per cent in 2020.
Western European natural
gas imports are expected to rise from
35 per cent of consumption now to 45 per
cent in 2010. United States liquefied
natural gas (LNG) imports are likely to
continue rising.
Apart from the Russian
Federation, central and eastern European
gas import dependence is likely to increase
from 65 per cent in 2010 to 85 per cent
in 2015.
At the same time, the
cost of developing incremental sources
of energy supplies is increasing. And
some key oil and gas producing countries
have a poor investment climate.
The diversification energy
supply sources may be the key to accommodating
rising energy demand, rising import dependence
and reducing risk of energy supply disruptions.
Indeed, the international cooperation
between energy importing and exporting
countries needed to accomplish this may
be the best way, possibly the only way
to ensure a stable global economy and
the peaceful relations this can engender.
In order to accomplish
this, investments in new oil energy production
will be needed. Enhanced energy transport
facilities and new transport corridors
will be required. The enhanced energy
trade needed to diversify further the
sources of UNECE member States energy
supplies will require a suitable investment
climate, commercial agreements and political
consensus that international cooperation
between importing and exporting countries
can promote.
UNECE member States have
a strategic interest in encouraging the
investments needed to increase energy
production and develop export agreements.
At the same time, the countries of the
Caspian Sea Region have a strategic interest
in establishing and maintaining a suitable
investment environment.
As a result of the session,
participating governments of the countries
surrounding the Caspian Sea could agree
to work together and with other UNECE
member States on increasing energy production
and energy exports while enhancing the
environmental quality of the region.
For further information about the Energy
Security Forum and the High-level Meeting,
please consult the UNECE website http://www.unece.org/ie
or contact:
Mr. Alexandre Chachine
Industrial Restructuring, Energy and
Enterprise Development Division
United Nations Economic Commission
for Europe
Palais des Nations, Bureau 380
CH - 1211 Geneva 10, Switzerland
Phone: + 41(0)22 917 2451
Telefax: + 41(0)22 917 0038
E-mail: [email protected]
Ref: ECE/IREEDD/05/P06