Determining Significance
Specific Methodologies and Criteria to Determine the Significance of Adversary
Transboundary Impact
Report by the secretariat based on the results of the consultation of governmentally designated experts from Austria, Finland, Norway, Poland and Slovenia, pursuant to a decision taken at the third meeting of the Signatories (ENVWA/WG.3/6, para. 21).
1. The present report aims to specify ways and means of determining the
issue of the significance of an impact in a transboundary context. It
emphasizes the early determination of significance, which precedes the
notification from the country of origin to the affected country. It takes
into account the information contained in document ENVWA/WG.3/R.13 as
well as the information provided by the delegations of Armenia, Belarus,
Czech Republic, Finland, Germany, Hungary, Ireland, Latvia, Lithuania,
Netherlands, Poland, Russian Federation, Sweden, Ukraine and United Kingdom
in accordance with the decision taken at the third meeting of the Signatories
(ENVWA/WG.3/6, para. 21). All the countries that submitted case-studies
had been able to identify the possible transboundary impacts. Most countries
reported only a limited number of significant transboundary impacts. The
information provided by delegations covered the following types of activities:
long-distance railways; trading ports and inland waterways; waste disposal;
large dams and reservoirs; pulp and paper manufacturing; major mining;
off shore hydrocarbon production. The transboundary impacts of sewage
treatment plants, building materials industry, power lines and fixed links
accross sea areas were also considered.
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I. APPLYING A FRAMEWORK TO DECIDE ON THE NEED TO NOTIFY
2. The identification of likely transboundary impacts and the determination
of significance for the purpose of transmitting the notification to the
affected country could be set in a general framework, which would give
a structured starting-point for further discussions between the competent
authorities in the country of origin, the proponent and the affected country.
The key element in such a framework is the format for the listing and
identification of impacts.
3. A common format listing the impact clarifies the considerations of
the competent authority and its discussion with the proponent after it
has received information on a proposed activity. When the competent authority
in the country of origin has identified possible transboundary impacts,
it continues to evaluate their significance. This evaluation will often
take the form of a dialogue between the proponent and the competent authority.
The scale or characteristics of the impacts are the basis for determining
their significance. Case-studies on transboundary impacts show that it
may be difficult to obtain even tentative quantitative information on
the characteristics of the likely transboundary impacts at this stage.
Therefore, the competent authority of the country of origin may also consider
the general characteristics of a proposed activity. A possible structure
for listing and identifying impacts is given in annex I below. It attempts
to clarify whether transboundary impacts are possible or not.
4. The information to be submitted to the affected country in the notification
could include a description of the impacts and indicate which impacts
are considered to be possibly significant. A possible format for providing
this information to the affected country is given in annex II below.
5. In all cases of likely transboundary impacts, a central consideration
will be the likely area of impact relative to the border. This consideration
covers two aspects:
(i) The border between the country of origin and the affected country.
The key points of interest are the areas where the greatest impacts are
expected in the affected country;
(ii) A specified area of likely impact in the affected country.
The competent authority in the country of origin will have to decide on
the likely area of impact and on the criteria by which it is delimited.
Reference should be made to relevant environmental standards and threshold
values. These values should be derived from national laws or regulations,
international agreements or past experience. The area of impact is seldom
unambiguously defined, because the type of emission or other factors determine
the spatial distribution of the impact. In practice, the affected country
may have different standards, thresholds or past experiences for determining
the area of impact. This could result in different perceptions in the
affected country and in the country of origin regarding the significance
of the impacts. The exchange of environmental information may provide
details for determining the possible area of impact for specific types
of activities. The harmonization of standards and threshold values between
parties to
the Convention are likely to alleviate this problem.
6. Annex II provides a tool to assemble relevant factual information
on the characteristics of transboundary impacts. Annex III provides preliminary
criteria for determining the "significance" of the impacts,
including the situations in which the affected country should always be
notified. Annex III also refers to situations in which the decision on
significance depends on several characteristics of the impacts or the
affected area. As more experience is gained of the actual impacts of activities
listed in Appendix I to the Convention, this part of annex III could be
developed further to give more precise activity-specific criteria for
determining the significance of an impact.
7. The consultation stressed that as a general rule, notification should
be transmitted whenever there is a possibility, no matter how uncertain,
that an impact may be significant. This additional information on the
characteristics of the impacts and uncertainties should also form part
of the notification.
II. DEVELOPMENT OF FURTHER GUIDELINES FOR THE DETERMINATION OF SIGNIFICANCE
8. Cases of transboundary impacts have so far not been systematically
documented. Cooperative action to provide activity-specific guidance could
focus on the areas of impact of specific activities listed in Appendix
I to the Convention. To provide a starting-point for this work, information
according to annex IV could be collected. The information is expected
to relate not only to environment impact assessment (EIA) in a transboundary
context, but more generally to cases where transboundary impacts were
considered. In identifying cases with transboundary impacts attention
should be paid not only to the point of view of the country of origin,
but also to how an activity was perceived in a potentially affected country.
9. On the basis of this information it could be possible to compile data
on the area of impact of activities included in Appendix I to the Convention.
An attempt to formulate models explaining the size and type of the area
of impact could be made. By identifying explanatory variables, the results
of the research could serve as a first approximation when considering
potential transboundary impacts. The advantage of an international effort
is that a larger number of cases in different environmental settings can
be covered, because the national EIA procedures tend to be applied primarily
to large- scale activities, of which there are only few in each country.
10. The research programme should specifically address the question of
particularly sensitive areas and subregions within the ECE region, such
as the Arctic and Alpine subregions. In sensitive subregions there may
be a need to agree on lower thresholds for activities in Appendix I, also
taking into account Article 2, paragraph 5, and Article 8 of the Convention.
An overview of observed areas of impact would provide a scientific basis
for setting these thresholds.
11. Developing a detailed study programme and carrying out this programme
will demand some resources from all participating countries. Experience
has shown that high quality information cannot be obtained from individual
countries without nominating in each country a scientific focal point,
which has access to the necessary expertise, is committed to the programme
and can compile the relevant information.
III. PROPOSALS FOR FURTHER WORK
12. The consultation recognized that there was a need for a common notification
format. Accordingly, the Meeting of the Signatories could make the necessary
arrangements so that a format for notification documentation is drawn
up, taking into account annex II to the present report.
13. Further work could be undertaken with respect to the preparation
of guidance in order to support the determination of the significance
of a transboundary impact. To use existing experience on transboundary
impacts the Meeting of the Signatories could collect information on past
experience with transboundary impacts in accordance with the questionnaire
contained in annex IV to the present report.
14. The Meeting of the Signatories may also wish to set up a cooperative
programme under the Convention in order to further develop and determine
effective activity-specific guidance with respect to all relevant issues
concerning the "significance" of adverse transboundary impacts,
taking into account the criteria for significance presented in annex III.
As a first step, a focal point on methodological aspects could be nominated
in each country. The focal points would be expected to participate actively
in developing the cooperative programme by preparing the information related
to the questionnaire included in annex IV to the present report and analysing
this information at a meeting of focal points on methodological aspects.
Such a meeting could aim at working out the details of the programme to
be undertaken and finding ways and means of implementing the cooperative
programme, including cooperation with other scientific institutions and
international bodies, as referred to in Article 11, paragraph 2 (c), of
the Convention.
Annex I
IDENTIFICATION OF ADVERSE TRANSBOUNDARY IMPACT
| 1. Can the proposed activity or its reasonable alternatives result in one or more of the following adverse transboundary impacts: |
Specify type of expected impact |
| AIR
- Changes in ambient air quality
- Release of any toxic or hazardous air pollutant, radiation, or genetically engineered organisms
- Changes in noise levels and level of vibrations
- Other (specify) |
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| WATER
- Surface water: Changes in water quality or water quantity
- Groundwater: Changes in water quality or quantity
- Coastal water: Changes in quality
- Sediments: Changes in quality and quantity (riverine, estuarine, coastal)
- Release of any toxic or hazardous water pollutant, radiation, or genetically engineered organisms
- Other (specify) |
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| CLIMATE
- Microclimatic changes (temperature, rainfall, wind)
- Other (specify) |
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| 2. Can the proposed activity, or the related emissions listed above, result in one or more of the following adverse transboundary impacts: |
Specify type of expected impact |
| SOIL
- Changes in soil acidification, nutrification or other contamination
- Changes in deposition or erosion
- Other (specify) |
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| LANDSCAPE/HISTORIC MONUMENTS OR OTHER PHYSICAL STRUCTURES
- Changes in land use
- Decreased aesthetic appeal or changes in visual amenities
- Changes in historical, archaeological, paleontological, architectural, or cultural assets
- Changes in quality and quantity of recreational opportunities or amenities
- Changes to present or potential use of natural resources (e.g. fisheries, hunting, agriculture/forestry, tourism)
- Impacts on ecologically sensitive areas or areas of special environmental value
- Other (specify) |
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| HUMAN HEALTH AND SAFETY
- Changes in human health and safety
- Changes in disease incidence
- Changes to well-being and quality of life
- Other (specify) |
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| FLORA, FAUNA
- Changes in migratory patterns (birds, fish, mammals, etc.)
- Disturbance of habitat
- Decrease in biological diversity
- Impacts on threatened species
- Changes in species composition
- Other (specify) |
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| 3. Can the proposed activity cause accidents with transboundary impacts ? |
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| 4. Can the proposed activity invoke any existing international agreement on environmental matters? |
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| 5. Can the proposed activity affect interactions among environmental factors? |
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Annex II
ELEMENTS FOR THE DETERMINATION OF THE SIGNIFICANCE
OF IMPACTS
| Type of activity |
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| Location, distance from border and general description of the environment |
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| Size and nature of the activity (technology, material and energy
use, production level, and emissions) |
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Characteristics of impact a/ |
| Likely trans-boundary changes in |
Area of transboun-dary impact |
Number of potent-ially affected people b/ |
Impact on areas of special environ-mental value (yes/no) c/ |
Mag-nitude of area of impact d/ |
Prob-ability of impact d/ |
Dur-ation of impact e/ |
Fre-quency of impact f/ |
Reversi-bility of impact g/ |
| 1. Human health and safety |
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| 2. Flora and fauna |
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| 3. Soil |
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| 4. Air |
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| 5. Water |
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| 6. Climate |
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| 7. Landscape |
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| 8. Historic monuments or other physical structures |
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| 9. Inter-actions between 1-8 |
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| 10. Cultural heritage or socio-economic conditions related to 1-9 |
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Trans-boundary impacts related to accidents |
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| Does the activity invoke international agreements on environ-mental
matters h/ |
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| Others |
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a/ Give tentative quantitative information or expert judgement
on the characteristics of the impact whenever available. If no information
is available, although an impact is expected, note uncertainty with a
question mark as a sign of need for additional information.
b/ The information can often be presented in a semi-quantitative
form indicating classes such as less than 10, 10-100, 100-1000 etc., when
tentative quantitative information is available.
c/ If available, give an expert judgement on the affected proportion
of the area of special environmental value.
d/ Qualitative statements such as "small", "intermediate",
"large" can be used when tentative quantitative information
is unavailable.
e/ Can be classified as days, months, years, decades.
f/ Can be classified as permanent or times of occurrence >1/month,
1/month-1/year, 1/year-1/5years, < 1/5years, etc.
g/ Can be classified as rapidly reversible (days-weeks), slowly
reversible (months-years) or practically irreversible (> decades).
h/ If significant impacts are expected only in the event of an
accident, the full table can be filled in to illustrate the worst case
scenario. A separate full table illustrating accident conditions could
also be used whenever considerations of possible accidents are expected
to play a key-role in determining the significance of the impact.
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Comments on the general characteristics of the activity: ... (for example:
uncertainty of the information and data used).
Annex III
TENTATIVE CRITERIA FOR THE DETERMINATION OF SIGNIFICANCE
1. Criteria for the determination of significance can be divided into
two groups. The first group of criteria are those which should always
lead to the notification of an affected country, whenever an impact meets
any of the criteria. The second group contains those criteria that involve
a greater element of judgement and that require further work in particular
with respect to impact- or activity-specific guidance.
2. Impacts that meet any of the following criteria should always be considered
significant in the context of the Convention and thus lead to the notification
of an affected country.
(i) The magnitude of the expected impact in a transboundary area exceeds
environmental objectives or safety and health standards of the
affected country;
(ii) The expected impact in a transboundary area is virtually reversible;
(iii) The expected impact leads to an adverse change in a protected area
in the affected country; or
(iv) Impacts that are due to accidents and that may meet any of the
criteria (i)-(iii).
3. The rate of recovery in case of reversible impacts as well as the
duration and frequency of an impact are characteristics which in practice
would always be considered together with the magnitude of impact, the
area of impact and the number of affected people. For example, slowly
reversible impacts with an observable magnitude and a moderate to high
frequency in a transboundary area would usually be considered significant,
although they would not meet the criteria of paragraph 2 above. If only
a marginal change is expected in a small area affecting few, the impact
will usually not be considered significant in the context of the Convention.
Annex IV
QUESTIONNAIRE ON PAST EXPERIENCE WITH TRANSBOUNDARY
IMPACTS OF ACTIVITIES LISTED IN APPENDIX I OF THE CONVENTION
1. Identify the number of cases initiated or completed during the past
four years. The information is expected to relate not only to EIA in a
transboundary context, but more generally to cases where transboundary
impacts were considered.
| Activity |
Number of cases from 1990 to the end of 1994 in the country |
Number of cases from 1990 to the end of 1994 with transboundary
impacts |
Mimimum distance between activity with transboun- dary impacts and the border |
Maximum distance between an activity with transboundary impacts
and the border |
| Crude oil refineries and installations for the gasification and
liquefaction of coal or bituminous shale |
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| Thermal power stations and other combustion installations and nuclear
power stations and other nuclear reactors |
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| Installations for the production or enrichment of nuclear fuels,
the reprocessing of irradiated nuclear fuels or the storage, disposal
and processing of radioactive waste |
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| Major installations for the initial smelting of cast iron and steel
and for the production of non-ferrous metals. |
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| Installations for the extraction of asbestos and for the processing
and transformation of asbestos and products containing asbestos |
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| Integrated chemical installations |
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| Construction of motorways, express roads and lines for long-distance
railway traffic and of airports |
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| Large-diameter oil and gas pipelines |
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| Trading ports and also inland waterways and ports for inland-waterway
traffic |
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| Waste-disposal installations for the incineration, chemical treatment
or landfill of toxic and dangerous wastes |
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| Large dams and reservoirs |
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| Groundwater abstraction activities |
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| Pulp and paper manufacturing |
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| Major mining, on-site extraction and processing of metal ores or
coal |
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| Offshore hydrocarbon production |
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| Major storage facilities for petroleum, petrochemical and chemical
products |
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| Deforestation of large areas |
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| Other, specify |
- not applicable- |
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2. For the future development of activity-specific guidance on the determination
of significance in a transboundary context, specify which type of activities
listed above should be considered first.
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